Friday Pick ’Em — Week 9 NFL Picks

Week 8 has come and gone. Here are the results from my Week 8 picks!

13 Games (No Thursday Night)

Point Spreads — 8/13 (62%)

Over/ Under — 9/13 (69%)

Both Spread & O/U — 6/13 (46%)

Although I did not perform as well as Nostradamus the Hedge Hog, I was happy with my results. Also, my prediction of Marvin Jones having his breakout game was fairly accurate… I’d like to pat myself on the back for that ESPN Analyst level prediction.

I will own up to my mortal Lock of the week being way off as the Packers got embarrassed by the Vikings… I didn’t take the Packers poor record on daylight savings weekend into account and it bit me in the ass.

The “Beginners luck” theory may or may not be in play here… I am not quite sure. However, there is plenty of room for improvement. All in all, it was fun to make the picks and look back on the results in hindsight. Weather was a factor in the majority week 8’s games. Not an excuse, just the fact of the matter. Weather will continue to wreak havoc on NFL picks for the remainder of the season.

With week 8 wrapped up, I will get right into my week 9 picks.

Contrary to last week, the weather looks to be clear for most of it not all the games this weekend. There is said to be a possible wind situation in Tampa Bay on Sunday night. Besides that, things look clear across the league.

Spreads and Over/ Under Numbers again courtesy of ESPN as of Friday, 11/6/2020.

Early Slate:

- Bears @ Titans

Line: TEN -6.5

O/U: 46.5

This line seems a bit excessive. I think this game is going to be closer than many predict. I see a field goal spread in this game. The Titans offense is great when they have it rolling, but that defense cannot stop ANYBODY… On the flip side, the Bears offense struggles on 3rd down and on any down for that matter. Again, I am going to have my Chicago Bears losing this game, but for gamblers around the world. Take them to cover the spread if it remains at 6.5 points.

Bears +6.5 and Over 46.5

- Broncos @ Falcons

Line: ATL -4

O/U: 50

Drew Lock and the Broncos are coming off an impressive comeback victory last week against the Chargers… Although the Falcon’s offense has looked better after parting ways with Dan Quinn, I have to roll with the ‘Moxy’ of Drew Lock to persevere against an always exploitable Atlanta defense…

Broncos +4 and the Over 50.

- Seahawks @ Bills

Line: SEA -3

O/U: 55

Russell Wilson… AKA Mr. Unlimited taking on Joshy Football and the Bills in Buffalo. The Bills offense is still struggling to produce like they were early on this season. The Seahawks do have one of the worst defensive units in the NFL. Despite this, I am still putting my trust in Russell Wilson, DK Metcalf and the crew to take out the Bills on the road.

Seahawks -3 and the Over 55. I think the Bills get the offense rolling, but ultimately fall short in a shootout.

- Ravens @ Colts

Line: BAL -1.5

O/U: 48

A very tight line as of the Friday before the game. This could have the makings of a ‘Kicker dual’… The veteran Justin Tucker Vs. Rookie phenom Rodrigo Blankenship. Baltimore’s offense still does not look like it did last season and they have suffered from bad turnovers in the RedZone. It seems like teams around the NFL have figured out how to defend them. The Colts do have a good defense, but like I said last week, they are exploitable. I think Lamar figures it out this week, Indoors at Lucas Oil Stadium.

Ravens cover the 1.5 and the Over 48 thanks to the kickers.

- Panthers @ Chiefs

Line: KC -10.5

O/U: 53

Kansas City -10.5 and the Over 53

Lock of the Week

Can Lose… BUT WON’T

- Lions @ Vikings

Line: MIN -4.5

O/U: 50.5

In an NFC North Battle in Minnesota, I must take the home team. The Vikings offense looks great if they do not allow Kirk Cousins to throw the ball. A positive game script for the Vikings should have them leaning on Dalvin Cook once again.

Vikings -4.5 and the Under 50.5

- Giants @ Washington Football Team

Line: WSH -2.5

O/U: 43

A game that has playoff/ draft pick implications for both teams… The way the Washington Football Team defense gets after the quarterback combined with Daniel Jones being very turnover prone makes this pick quite easy.

Washington Football Team covering the 2.5 points and the Under 43.

- Texans @ Jaguars

Line: HOU -7

O/U: 51

With the news of Minshew Mania out and the Jags turning to Jake Luton as their starting QB, combine this with a Texans offense that can take the top off of any defense with Will Fuller and Deshaun Watson… I cannot think of any scenario where this game turns out positive for Jacksonville.

Texans -7 and the Under 51.

Afternoon Slate:

- Raiders @ Chargers

Line: EVEN

O/U: 51.5

An even line for this game is warranted in my opinion. Both teams have shown to have potent offenses… and neither has been able to stop a common cold defense. I put my stock on the veteran QB over the rookie in this one.

Raiders Win by a field goal. Over 51.5

- Steelers @ Cowboys

Line: PIT -14

O/U: 42

Pittsburgh, still undefeated and will likely remain undefeated after this one… This needs no explanation… It really comes down to those 14 points. I have faith that the Cowboys will remain the Cowboys and the Steelers will dominate in this one.

Steelers -14 with ease and the Over of 42.

- Dolphins @ Cardinals

Line: ARI -4.5

O/U: 48.5

Tua making his 2nd start in the NFL after an underwhelming, but victorious effort last week. However, I do not see the Dolphins defense having the success they did last week against Kyler Murray and this Cardinals offense. Kyler and Deandre Hopkins take charge and lead the Cardinals to a home win.

Cardinals cover the 4.5 and Over 48.5

Sunday Night Football:

- Saints @ Buccaneers

Line: TB -4.5

O/U: 50.5

As I mentioned at the top, this looks like the only game currently that may be affected by weather. Rivalry matchup on SNF should be a good one. 2 of the most decorated Quarterbacks to ever lace up the cleats. I am giving the edge to Brady who looks much better than Brees this entire season.

Tampa Bay covers the 4.5 and the Under 50.5

Monday Night Football:

- Patriots @ Jets

Line: NE -7

O/U: 42

The Patriots continue to look bad after a hot start to the season. However, the Jets pose a positive matchup for their opposition every week. I think New England’s defense shuts down the Jets and I will predict a defensive touchdown for the Patriots as well.

Patriots easily cover the -7 and I will reluctantly take the Over 42 points.

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